| 作 者： |
李卫兵，陈思 |
| 单 位： |
华中科技大学 |
| 文章类别： |
经济 |
| 关 键 词： |
碳排放； STIRPAT模型； EKC曲线； 能源强度 |
| 中文摘要： |
以STIRPAT模型为基本框架并对其进行拓展，利用面板数据，对全国和东中西部地区的碳排放驱动因素进行深入考察。总体分析表明，人口、富裕程度、第二产业的发展和能源强度都会对碳排放造成影响，而城市化水平、第三产业的发展对碳排放的影响并不显著，EKC曲线不适用于中国的碳排放和经济发展水平。而区域对比分析发现，中部地区的碳排放驱动因素在影响程度和方向上与东西部地区存在很大的不同：中部地区人口对碳排放影响为负，东西部为正；能源强度对东西部的碳排放有显著影响而对中部无显著影响。 |
| 英文摘要： |
Taking the STIRPAT model as the basic framework， extending the formula and utilizing the panel data， this paper investigates thoroughly the driving forces of carbon dioxide emissions in the overall level and east，middle and wset regions of China. The general analysis via the fixed effect model shows that population，affluence and the development of the second industry influence carbon dioxide emissions， while urbanization， the development of the third industry doesn’t affect the carbon dioxide emissions significantly. EKC theory does not fit in the relationship between the emissions and the growth of affluence. Then the regional comparative analysis shows that the driving forces that affect emissions in the middle regions of China have many differences compared with that in the east and west in terms of degree and direction: The development of the second industry decreases carbon dioxide emissions in the middle regions of China and increases the carbon dioxide emissions in the east and west China. The level of urbanization has impact on the east and west but not on the middle enery intensity of China.
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| 作者简介： |
李卫兵（1976-），男，湖北鄂州人，经济学博士，华中科技大学经济学院讲师，研究方向为资源与环境经济学；陈思（1989-），男，湖北黄冈人，华中科技大学经济学院本科生。 |
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